Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 130.023617 150.287810 173.949770 203.946626 241.436082 287.394655 3.490404e+02
2025-03-16 100.116106 124.261694 155.465550 199.885357 263.498665 354.756327 5.026980e+02
2025-03-23 88.240795 115.130451 152.510530 210.608172 303.444181 456.009596 7.520296e+02
2025-03-30 75.778328 102.114964 140.528267 203.927033 313.494708 513.091201 9.619947e+02
2025-04-06 68.346536 94.754197 134.958149 205.074436 335.647170 599.334785 1.294798e+03
2025-04-13 62.162167 88.205181 129.285931 204.365346 353.652893 685.129933 1.709371e+03
2025-04-20 58.858231 85.567213 129.307601 213.402659 393.339120 839.955997 2.530435e+03
2025-04-27 57.276368 85.398395 133.310502 230.621329 456.716152 1097.477319 4.276378e+03
2025-05-04 53.098677 80.382917 127.999266 228.065189 473.189180 1233.089764 5.861863e+03
2025-05-11 50.152788 77.129250 125.406177 230.605407 503.609155 1441.196830 8.860877e+03
2025-05-18 46.755342 72.736744 120.100248 226.142663 513.759050 1585.788445 1.232059e+04
2025-05-25 44.430970 70.027409 117.682504 227.771743 542.373988 1839.704675 1.994134e+04
2025-06-01 42.222319 67.531205 115.792018 231.385819 582.832706 2227.516488 4.016691e+04
2025-06-08 39.396921 63.671690 110.757818 226.532149 595.117828 2499.794221 7.447571e+04
2025-06-15 38.391923 63.119405 112.461079 239.263008 676.586079 3393.193662 3.995745e+05
2025-06-22 35.834654 59.350517 106.853240 231.324649 676.417813 3697.757176 1.303623e+06
2025-06-29 34.233422 57.306284 104.753114 232.686789 715.734334 4490.394296 1.468062e+08
2025-07-06 32.626893 55.114100 102.067112 231.844932 746.078485 5336.604569 NaN
2025-07-13 31.912900 54.642211 103.200944 242.588010 838.394897 7514.913970 NaN
2025-07-20 31.782191 55.338389 107.126891 263.136952 1000.801881 12674.498540 NaN
2025-07-27 30.336177 53.177175 103.978372 260.079904 1030.524862 15410.174592 NaN
2025-08-03 29.319720 51.845054 102.704884 263.117902 1101.931867 21077.927249 NaN
2025-08-10 27.970333 49.708041 99.219707 257.782117 1116.054562 25089.734532 NaN